Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 20%

  1. 16:00 LGA → 19:15 DFW
    AA 1608 · American · 4h 15m · 63% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DFW → 23:56 MIA
    AA 2823 · American · 2h 51m · 41% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip7h 56mLGA 16:00 to MIA 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.