tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:29 DFW → 12:00 LGA
    AA 1609 · American · 3h 33m · 83% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 4h 08m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:08 LGA → 17:48 BUF
    AA 4378 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 67% on time, 9.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 203 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 08m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (9.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 19mDFW 07:29 to BUF 17:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.