Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%
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13:00 LGA → 15:54 DFWAA 1609 · American · 3h 54m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled
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56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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16:50 DFW → 19:44 ORDAA 2474 · American · 2h 54m · 55% on time, 4.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip7h 44mLGA 13:00 to ORD 19:44, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.