tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Antonio via Miami: arrives on time 52%

  1. 17:40 DCA → 20:34 MIA
    AA 1612 · American · 2h 54m · 62% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:52 MIA → 23:59 SAT
    AA 1468 · American · 3h 07m · 68% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 19mDCA 17:40 to SAT 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.