tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 64%

  1. 17:40 DCA → 20:34 MIA
    AA 1612 · American · 2h 54m · 62% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:13 MIA → 00:19 TPA +1 day
    AA 1714 · American · 1h 06m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 39mDCA 17:40 to TPA 00:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.