tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Kansas City via Miami: arrives on time 34%

  1. 17:40 DCA → 20:34 MIA
    AA 1612 · American · 2h 54m · 62% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 MIA → 23:50 MCI
    AA 670 · American · 3h 21m · 64% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 06mDCA 17:40 to MCI 23:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.