tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Philadelphia via Buffalo: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:50 CLT → 18:43 BUF
    AA 1614 · American · 1h 53m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Buffalo (BUF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 BUF → 21:10 PHL
    AA 6114 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 30m · 71% on time, 12.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (12.7% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 20mCLT 16:50 to PHL 21:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.