tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Los Angeles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 16:46 BUF → 19:10 DFW
    AA 1615 · American · 3h 24m · 58% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 DFW → 22:03 LAX
    AA 1084 · American · 3h 14m · 44% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip8h 17mBUF 16:46 to LAX 22:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.