Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Buffalo → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%
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16:46 BUF → 19:10 DFWAA 1615 · American · 3h 24m · 58% on time, 2.9% cancelled
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50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:00 DFW → 23:59 DCAAA 2077 · American · 2h 59m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled
Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 13mBUF 16:46 to DCA 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.