tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Los Angeles via Miami: arrives on time 33%

  1. 18:39 BWI → 21:25 MIA
    AA 1619 · American · 2h 46m · 64% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 MIA → 00:48 LAX +1 day
    AA 669 · American · 5h 28m · 56% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip9h 09mBWI 18:39 to LAX 00:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.