tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:23 HNL → 20:55 LAX
    AA 162 · American · 5h 32m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 LAX → 23:23 SMF
    AA 4908 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 01mHNL 12:23 to SMF 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.