tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dayton via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 61%

  1. 11:59 DCA → 14:24 DFW
    AA 1623 · American · 3h 24m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:16 DFW → 20:48 DAY
    AA 5609 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip8h 49mDCA 11:59 to DAY 20:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.