tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Louisville via Washington: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:02 DFW → 10:59 DCA
    AA 1623 · American · 2h 57m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 DCA → 13:48 SDF
    AA 4753 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 48m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 46mDFW 07:02 to SDF 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.