tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:18 DCA → 17:49 DFW
    AA 1624 · American · 3h 31m · 82% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:38 DFW → 21:22 ORD
    AA 1424 · American · 2h 44m · 39% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip7h 04mDCA 15:18 to ORD 21:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.