tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:18 DCA → 17:49 DFW
    AA 1624 · American · 3h 31m · 82% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 DFW → 23:47 TUL
    AA 531 · American · 1h 09m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 244 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 49m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip9h 29mDCA 15:18 to TUL 23:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.