tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dayton via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 15:18 DCA → 17:49 DFW
    AA 1624 · American · 3h 31m · 82% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:18 DFW → 23:50 DAY
    AA 5245 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 31m · 64% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip8h 31mDCA 15:18 to DAY 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.