tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → New York via Washington: arrives on time 44%

  1. 09:56 DFW → 13:59 DCA
    AA 1624 · American · 3h 02m · 82% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:54 DCA → 16:29 JFK
    AA 4781 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 62% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 33mDFW 09:56 to JFK 16:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.