tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 23%

  1. 10:21 LAX → 16:50 ORD
    AA 1628 · American · 4h 29m · 52% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:39 ORD → 20:14 CLE
    AA 3466 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 33m · 72% on time, 9.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (9.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 51mLAX 10:21 to CLE 20:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.