tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:46 BWI → 18:12 DFW
    AA 1629 · American · 3h 27m · 57% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:28 DFW → 21:10 SFO
    AA 1430 · American · 3h 42m · 52% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip8h 24mBWI 15:46 to SFO 21:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.