tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 21%

  1. 15:46 BWI → 18:12 DFW
    AA 1629 · American · 3h 27m · 57% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:14 DFW → 21:11 BNA
    AA 3169 · American · 1h 57m · 41% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip6h 25mBWI 15:46 to BNA 21:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.