Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Little Rock via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:22 DCA → 18:54 ORD
    AA 1630 · American · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:49 ORD → 21:55 LIT
    AA 3561 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 00m · 72% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 27mDCA 17:22 to LIT 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.