tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Santa Ana via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 15:50 DCA → 17:13 ORD
    AA 1637 · American · 2h 22m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:49 ORD → 21:26 SNA
    AA 1179 · American · 4h 33m · 74% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 32mDCA 15:50 to SNA 21:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.