tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 15:50 DCA → 17:13 ORD
    AA 1637 · American · 2h 22m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 ORD → 23:26 SAN
    AA 2457 · American · 4h 16m · 45% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip10h 36mDCA 15:50 to SAN 23:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.