tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dayton via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:50 DCA → 17:13 ORD
    AA 1637 · American · 2h 22m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:39 ORD → 23:01 DAY
    AA 4972 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 48% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip7h 11mDCA 15:50 to DAY 23:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.