tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → San Jose via Phoenix: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:56 DEN → 19:52 PHX
    AA 1638 · American · 1h 56m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:51 PHX → 22:41 SJC
    AA 1197 · American · 1h 50m · 62% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 45mDEN 18:56 to SJC 22:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.