tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:36 PHX
    AA 1640 · American · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 PHX → 12:49 PDX
    AA 1625 · American · 2h 44m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 49mSBA 06:00 to PDX 12:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.