tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Denver via Phoenix: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:36 PHX
    AA 1640 · American · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:32 PHX → 11:29 DEN
    AA 1757 · American · 1h 55m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 27mSBA 06:00 to DEN 11:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.