tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:36 PHX
    AA 1640 · American · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHX → 11:47 SAN
    AA 2477 · American · 1h 17m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 47mSBA 06:00 to SAN 11:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.