tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:36 PHX
    AA 1640 · American · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:20 PHX → 12:35 SEA
    DL 2374 · Delta · 3h 15m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 35mSBA 06:00 to SEA 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.