tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:36 PHX
    AA 1640 · American · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:06 PHX → 11:31 LAX
    UA 2487 · United · 1h 25m · 91% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 31mSBA 06:00 to LAX 11:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.