tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Oakland via Phoenix: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:36 PHX
    AA 1640 · American · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 PHX → 11:35 OAK
    WN 2680 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 35mSBA 06:00 to OAK 11:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.