tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:36 PHX
    AA 1640 · American · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:35 PHX → 11:30 SMF
    WN 781 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 30mSBA 06:00 to SMF 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.