tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → Newark via Miami: arrives on time 57%

  1. 11:04 CHS → 12:48 MIA
    AA 1642 · American · 1h 44m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 MIA → 16:39 EWR
    AA 1823 · American · 3h 06m · 79% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 37mCHS 11:04 to EWR 16:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.