Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → San Francisco via Miami: arrives on time 35%
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13:00 LGA → 16:14 MIAAA 1643 · American · 3h 14m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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1h 01m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:15 MIA → 20:20 SFOAA 2035 · American · 6h 05m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip10h 20mLGA 13:00 to SFO 20:20, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.