Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Chicago via Miami: arrives on time 30%
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13:00 LGA → 16:14 MIAAA 1643 · American · 3h 14m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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46m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:00 MIA → 19:53 ORDAA 3056 · American · 3h 53m · 60% on time, 2.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 53mLGA 13:00 to ORD 19:53, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.