tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Houston via Memphis: arrives on time 20%

  1. 22:30 DFW → 18:30 MEM
    AA 1646 · American · 1h 33m · 39% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Memphis (MEM) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:15 MEM → 21:55 HOU
    WN 2069 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip -35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip-35mDFW 22:30 to HOU 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.