tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 16:14 BZN → 20:24 DFW
    AA 1647 · American · 3h 10m · 66% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 22:24 IAH
    AA 2209 · American · 1h 14m · 48% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip5h 10mBZN 16:14 to IAH 22:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.