tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 16:14 BZN → 20:24 DFW
    AA 1647 · American · 3h 10m · 66% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:34 DFW → 22:25 LAS
    AA 2872 · American · 2h 51m · 43% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip7h 11mBZN 16:14 to LAS 22:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.