tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:14 BZN → 20:24 DFW
    AA 1647 · American · 3h 10m · 66% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 DFW → 23:57 MSP
    AA 3149 · American · 2h 27m · 44% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip6h 43mBZN 16:14 to MSP 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.