tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 12:19 PHX → 16:55 DFW
    AA 1648 · American · 2h 36m · 74% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:52 DFW → 19:39 SFO
    AA 3072 · American · 3h 47m · 39% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip7h 20mPHX 12:19 to SFO 19:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.