tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Reno via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:19 PHX → 16:55 DFW
    AA 1648 · American · 2h 36m · 74% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 DFW → 19:42 RNO
    AA 3251 · American · 3h 27m · 51% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip7h 23mPHX 12:19 to RNO 19:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.