tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Pittsburgh via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 12:19 PHX → 16:55 DFW
    AA 1648 · American · 2h 36m · 74% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 DFW → 21:48 PIT
    AA 680 · American · 2h 53m · 55% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 29mPHX 12:19 to PIT 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.