tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 06:38 ORD
    AA 1652 · American · 2h 23m · 83% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ORD → 11:40 IND
    AA 843 · American · 1h 10m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 25mPHL 05:15 to IND 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.