tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 06:38 ORD
    AA 1652 · American · 2h 23m · 83% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 ORD → 11:08 AVL
    AA 3981 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 58m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 53mPHL 05:15 to AVL 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.