tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → New Orleans via Chicago: arrives on time 88%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 06:38 ORD
    AA 1652 · American · 2h 23m · 83% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:25 ORD → 12:55 MSY
    UA 1850 · United · 2h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 40mPHL 05:15 to MSY 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.