tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 06:38 ORD
    AA 1652 · American · 2h 23m · 83% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ORD → 13:01 CVG
    AA 4412 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 46mPHL 05:15 to CVG 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.