tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 06:38 ORD
    AA 1652 · American · 2h 23m · 83% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 12:41 JAX
    AA 4740 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 26mPHL 05:15 to JAX 12:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.