tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 11:39 BZN → 15:45 DFW
    AA 1653 · American · 3h 06m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:13 DFW → 23:45 LGA
    AA 2708 · American · 3h 32m · 55% on time, 13.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (13.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip10h 06mBZN 11:39 to LGA 23:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.