tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Miami via Charleston: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:22 DCA → 19:07 CHS
    AA 1654 · American · 1h 49m · 53% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Charleston (CHS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 CHS → 21:55 MIA
    AA 1657 · American · 1h 45m · 59% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 32mDCA 17:22 to MIA 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.