tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 05:10 PHX → 09:45 DFW
    AA 1655 · American · 2h 35m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 DFW → 11:55 AUS
    AA 1402 · American · 1h 05m · 40% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip4h 45mPHX 05:10 to AUS 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.